Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.207325 0.241517 0.278970 0.322958 0.373117 0.428443 0.493996
2025-10-26 0.149269 0.195336 0.251138 0.323302 0.413702 0.522710 0.663566
2025-11-02 0.116647 0.166621 0.231869 0.322413 0.443768 0.599622 0.813539
2025-11-09 0.093627 0.144058 0.214185 0.317363 0.463513 0.661013 0.945477
2025-11-16 0.076866 0.126395 0.199230 0.312030 0.479658 0.716287 1.071357
2025-11-23 0.062707 0.109755 0.182640 0.300989 0.484729 0.754547 1.174570
2025-11-30 0.057637 0.106338 0.185155 0.318269 0.532516 0.857443 1.378550
2025-12-07 0.048462 0.094483 0.172428 0.309516 0.538446 0.897198 1.490114
2025-12-14 0.040832 0.083978 0.160322 0.299896 0.541256 0.931309 1.594317
2025-12-21 0.034972 0.075697 0.150818 0.293258 0.547750 0.970949 1.709203
2025-12-28 0.031619 0.071660 0.148317 0.298457 0.574539 1.045284 1.885263
2026-01-04 0.029520 0.069787 0.149542 0.310406 0.613983 1.143365 2.107230
2026-01-11 0.026927 0.066569 0.147944 0.317205 0.645366 1.231069 2.319884
2026-01-18 0.024219 0.062668 0.144511 0.320101 0.669861 1.308728 2.521116
2026-01-25 0.021547 0.058367 0.139631 0.319423 0.687219 1.374447 2.705123
2026-02-01 0.018883 0.053595 0.133071 0.314431 0.695454 1.423655 2.862069
2026-02-08 0.016557 0.049220 0.126760 0.309145 0.702388 1.470557 3.017383
2026-02-15 0.014176 0.044237 0.118341 0.298195 0.696466 1.492057 3.125804
2026-02-22 0.013764 0.044479 0.122268 0.315331 0.751016 1.635199 3.476067
2026-03-01 0.011956 0.040476 0.115331 0.306651 0.749215 1.666023 3.609275
2026-03-08 0.010343 0.036698 0.108399 0.297111 0.744493 1.690303 3.730634
2026-03-15 0.009069 0.033675 0.102970 0.290530 0.745680 1.726589 3.878050
2026-03-22 0.008422 0.032496 0.102290 0.295685 0.774203 1.822038 4.152030